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Solana traders bet on a bounce, but is the market ready to move?

2min Read

High-volume optimism meets hesitant momentum as SOL stands at a technical crossroads.

Solana traders bet on a bounce, but is the market ready to move?
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  • Solana Futures hit record volume on CME as institutions bet big on a potential rebound.
  • Despite the bounce, technical indicators remain weak.

Solana’s [SOL] price may be hovering around $145, but big money isn’t blinking. With CME Futures volume at an ATH and Open Interest climbing past $6 billion, it seems the whales are doubling down on the bounce.

Solana Futures light up CME

CME Futures volume for SOL soared to a record 1.75 million contracts on the 22nd of June, as institutional players pile in amid a price rebound toward $145.

But the timing is curious.

solana

Source: Glassnode

The volume spike comes after weeks of sideways chop and a broader market lull. Notably, previous upticks in volume throughout May preceded sharp movements — so that this latest burst may be more than noise.

If history repeats, volatility is back on the menu — and SOL may not stay at $145 for long.

Stacked bets

As CME volume rockets to record highs, Open Interest is holding strong at $6.1 billion; its highest level since late March.

The chart reveals a decoupling: while Solana’s price has cooled from its Q1 highs, leveraged positions haven’t budged much. This stickiness in Open Interest, especially amid recent volatility, suggests traders are committing.

solana

Source: Coinglass

The last time that OI was elevated during a price downswing, SOL rallied sharply in the weeks that followed. Now, with fresh volume and deep positioning returning to the market, the stage is set for a high-stakes move.

Whether it moves up or down, remains to be seen.

Solana momentum check

Solana’s price may have bounced off local lows, but the technicals are still throwing shade.

solana

Source: TradingView

The RSI was at 45.7 at press time — so the recent green candles are more relief than reversal. Meanwhile, the MACD remained in bearish territory, with a flat histogram and no confirmed crossover yet.

Volume stayed muted, and the recovery has stalled just under $147, indicating that buyers aren’t exactly stampeding in.

For now, SOL’s rebound looks more like a breather than a breakout. Until momentum indicators flip, the bulls will have to fight harder for a comeback.

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Samyukhtha L KM is a Financial Journalist and Market Analyst at AMBCrypto whose work is defined by one central question: Is the latest trend in blockchain hype, or history in the making? Her expertise is built on a strong academic foundation, with a Master’s in Journalism and Mass Communication from Amity University and a Bachelor’s in Commerce from the University of Madras. This dual qualification equips her with a unique skill set: the financial acumen to dissect market mechanics and the journalistic rigor to investigate and communicate complex subjects with clarity. Samyukhtha specializes in analyzing the socio-economic impact of blockchain adoption and assessing the viability of new market narratives. This includes a focus on high-velocity, community-driven assets such as memecoins, where she evaluates sentiment and fundamentals. She is dedicated to providing readers with insightful, well-researched commentary that looks beyond immediate market moves to understand the long-term implications of decentralized technology.
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